Fastly Class A Stock Performance

FSLY Stock  USD 8.45  0.34  3.87%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fastly's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fastly is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Fastly Class A has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to confirm Fastly's jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Fastly Class A performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Fastly Class A has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.77)
Five Day Return
(10.94)
Year To Date Return
(13.74)
Ten Year Return
(63.36)
All Time Return
(63.36)
1
Fastly Shares Rise on Strong Edge Cloud Platform Demand
12/03/2025
2
Disposition of 34517 shares by Scott Lovett of Fastly at 10.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
3
Fastly Insider Scott Lovett Sells 34,517 Shares of Stock
12/19/2025
4
Disposition of 40000 shares by Artur Bergman of Fastly at 10.23 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/29/2025
5
Disposition of 40000 shares by Artur Bergman of Fastly at 10.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
6
Assessing Fastly Valuation After Solid Quarterly Results Spark Fresh Debate
01/09/2026
7
Disposition of 20000 shares by Artur Bergman of Fastly at 9.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2026
8
Fastly director Bergman sells 187,000 in shares - Investing.com
01/14/2026
9
SG Americas Securities LLC Buys 71,268 Shares of Fastly, Inc. FSLY
01/16/2026
10
Disposition of 20000 shares by Artur Bergman of Fastly at 8.18 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
11
Fastly Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Swings
01/21/2026
12
Fastly, Inc. Gains Attention as AI Adoption Supports Infrastructure Software
01/26/2026
13
SP 500 Taps Fresh Record High Amid Earnings, Fed Buzz
01/27/2026
14
Fastly Is Up 17.1 percent After Edge AI Buzz And Clawdbot Hype - Has The Bull Case Changed
01/28/2026
15
Analysts Maintain Cautious Stance on Fastly
01/29/2026
16
Evaluating Fastly Valuation After AI Driven Sector Rally And Edge Computing Optimism
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow108.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities178.9 M

Fastly Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,097  in Fastly Class A on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (252.00) from holding Fastly Class A or give up 22.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fastly Class A is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.4084% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Fastly, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fastly is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Fastly Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fastly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.45 90 days 8.45 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fastly to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Fastly Class A probability density function shows the probability of Fastly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fastly has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fastly average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fastly Class A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fastly Class A has an alpha of 0.2579, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fastly Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fastly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fastly Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.088.4911.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.029.4312.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.288.6912.10
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.9510.9312.13
Details

Fastly Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fastly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fastly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fastly Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fastly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Fastly Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fastly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fastly Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fastly Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fastly Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 543.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (158.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 325.31 M.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Evaluating Fastly Valuation After AI Driven Sector Rally And Edge Computing Optimism

Fastly Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fastly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fastly's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fastly's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments295.9 M

Fastly Fundamentals Growth

Fastly Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fastly, and Fastly fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fastly Stock performance.

About Fastly Performance

Evaluating Fastly's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Fastly has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fastly has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Capital Employed(0.11)(0.12)
Return On Assets(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Equity(0.19)(0.18)

Things to note about Fastly Class A performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fastly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fastly Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fastly Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fastly Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 543.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (158.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 325.31 M.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Evaluating Fastly Valuation After AI Driven Sector Rally And Edge Computing Optimism
Evaluating Fastly's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fastly's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fastly's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fastly's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fastly's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fastly's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fastly's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fastly's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fastly's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fastly's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fastly's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Fastly Stock Analysis

When running Fastly's price analysis, check to measure Fastly's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastly is operating at the current time. Most of Fastly's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastly's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastly's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastly to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.